South Sudan vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 3
SDN
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
SEN
18%
25%
56%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SEN
3 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 0
SDN
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
SEN
12%
24%
64%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EQG
0 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 0
SDN
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
EQG
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |