Sudan vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
LSO
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |