Sudan vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CMR
3 - 0
SDN
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
3 - 0
SDN
92%
7%
2%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 3
ZAM
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
6 - 0
SDN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
SDN
75%
18%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
2 - 1
ERI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
3 - 2
UGA
9%
18%
73%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
2 - 3
ERI
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |