Sudan vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SDN
3 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SYC
0 - 2
SDN
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SDN
3 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ERI
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
KEN
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
ANG
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 79 | 52 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | +2 |