African WC Qual. Table Final
Global 3-0
South Sudan vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
3.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
YEM
1 - 2
SDN
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
YEM
3 - 2
SDN
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
TAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
SDN
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ERI
1 - 0
SYC
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +5 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 2
MLI
6%
16%
78%
|
16 | 77 | 61 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
ERI
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 63 | 47 | 0 |