South Sudan vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 6
TUN
25%
28%
48%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
SDN
1 - 1
PLE
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 2
BEN
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MLI
1 - 0
SDN
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CGO
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
CGO
0 - 0
PRK
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
CGO
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |