South Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
78.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
UGA
1 - 0
SSD
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CMR
0 - 0
SSD
85%
12%
3%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BFA
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 0
SSD
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 1
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
UGA
1 - 0
SSD
74%
18%
8%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
2 - 0
MWI
60%
25%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 0
UGA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UGA
3 - 0
BDI
58%
24%
17%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
UGA
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |