AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-1
South Sudan vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
1 - 0
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BDI
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BDI
2 - 0
SSD
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MLI
3 - 0
SSD
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
RWA
7 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 3
RWA
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NAM
3 - 0
SYC
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 0
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MWI
3 - 0
SYC
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |