AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-2
South Sudan vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 4
SSD
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UZB
3 - 0
SSD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 1
SSD
69%
20%
12%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
JOR
3 - 0
SSD
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
BFA
1 - 0
SSD
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 4
SSD
21%
23%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIG
7 - 2
DJI
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
ALG
7%
16%
77%
|
34 | 84 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
2 - 0
DJI
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
BFA
7%
15%
79%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |