AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 6-2
South Sudan vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DJI
2 - 0
SSD
17%
19%
64%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EQG
4 - 0
SSD
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
SSD
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 2
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DJI
2 - 0
SSD
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
BDI
1 - 0
DJI
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BDI
7 - 0
DJI
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOG
5 - 0
DJI
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 3
TUN
10%
19%
71%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | -1 |