South Sudan vs Somalia analysis

South Sudan Somalia
51 ELO 37
-4.4% Tilt 1.3%
4812º General ELO ranking 9012º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.6%
South Sudan
18.8%
Draw
13.5%
Somalia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
South Sudan
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
Somalia
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

South Sudan
Somalia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2017
SOM
Somalia
1 - 2
South Sudan
SSD
21%
22%
58%
50 38 12 0
28 Mar. 2017
SSD
South Sudan
6 - 0
Djibouti
DJI
62%
20%
18%
48 35 13 +2
22 Mar. 2017
DJI
Djibouti
2 - 0
South Sudan
SSD
17%
19%
64%
51 33 18 -3
04 Sep. 2016
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
4 - 0
South Sudan
SSD
53%
24%
24%
52 60 8 -1
04 Jun. 2016
SSD
South Sudan
0 - 3
Mali
MLI
15%
21%
64%
53 77 24 -1

Matches

Somalia
Somalia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2017
SOM
Somalia
1 - 2
South Sudan
SSD
21%
22%
58%
38 50 12 0
13 Oct. 2015
NIG
Niger
4 - 0
Somalia
SOM
72%
18%
10%
38 57 19 0
09 Oct. 2015
SOM
Somalia
0 - 2
Niger
NIG
19%
22%
58%
39 57 18 -1
16 Nov. 2011
ETH
Ethiopia
5 - 0
Somalia
SOM
77%
16%
8%
39 66 27 0
12 Nov. 2011
SOM
Somalia
0 - 0
Ethiopia
ETH
18%
21%
61%
39 66 27 0