African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 4-1
South Sudan vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
6 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DJI
2 - 0
SSD
17%
19%
64%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EQG
4 - 0
SSD
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NIG
4 - 0
SOM
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 2
NIG
19%
22%
58%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
5 - 0
SOM
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SOM
0 - 0
ETH
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |