AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 0-5
South Sudan vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
MOZ
5 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
SSD
2 - 2
UGA
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MOZ
5 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ANG
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 2
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
4 - 2
MOZ
81%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |