South Sudan vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
86.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.6%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
UGA
5 - 1
SSD
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
9%
16%
75%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BDI
3 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 1
MLI
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
0 - 0
MLI
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
CIV
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 0
MLI
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |