South Sudan vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
SSD
2 - 2
UGA
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
TAN
4 - 0
ERI
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |