South Africa vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 2
RSA
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CGO
1 - 1
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
RSA
5 - 0
CGO
71%
20%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 3
RSA
7%
16%
77%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 2
UGA
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
CGO
17%
20%
64%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
SSD
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 0
KEN
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SSD
1 - 2
UGA
10%
17%
73%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
SSD
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |