South Africa vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 1
RSA
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
3 - 1
RSA
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
1 - 1
ANG
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
HND
2 - 0
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 3
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 1
ECU
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PER
0 - 0
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |