South Africa vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
4 - 0
SLE
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 4
ANG
60%
25%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 0
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MWI
1 - 1
MOZ
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MOZ
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZAM
16%
23%
62%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SEN
9%
20%
72%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |