South Africa vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
19.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
RSA
18%
27%
56%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
ETH
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
SEN
48%
27%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 0
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
BFA
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NIG
3 - 0
GAB
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
MLI
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
3 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |