South Africa vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.6%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
MUS
75%
18%
8%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MWI
4 - 5
RSA
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 1
BOL
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 3
RSA
12%
20%
69%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
RSA
1 - 1
SWZ
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 3
RSA
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
LIE
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |