South Africa vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
GHA
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
EQG
0 - 1
RSA
16%
21%
63%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
3 - 0
MWI
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
0 - 1
GUI
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
RSA
0 - 1
NGA
30%
30%
40%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CMR
5 - 0
MUS
92%
7%
1%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CPV
1 - 2
CMR
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
CMR
2 - 1
TAN
77%
17%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
TAN
0 - 0
CMR
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MUS
0 - 3
CMR
5%
17%
79%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |