South Africa vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 1
NOR
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 1
MWI
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
RSA
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ALG
0 - 1
BIH
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
2 - 0
LBY
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LBY
0 - 1
ALG
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 1
GAM
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MLI
2 - 1
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |