South Africa vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
RSA
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
LSO
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 0
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 0
NAM
66%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
NAM
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
EQG
1 - 0
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |