South Africa vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NAM
0 - 1
RSA
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
BOT
6 - 5
RSA
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
RSA
1 - 0
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
LSO
0 - 0
RSA
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2006 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RSA
30%
24%
45%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 1
CGO
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CGO
2 - 3
TOG
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
MLI
2 - 0
CGO
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
LBR
0 - 2
CGO
25%
24%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |