Sri Lanka vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
76.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
3 - 2
LKA
82%
13%
4%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 3
LBN
9%
18%
73%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
KOR
8 - 0
LKA
82%
15%
4%
|
29 | 88 | 59 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAS
6 - 0
LKA
73%
18%
9%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
KOR
5 - 0
TKM
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
QAT
1 - 2
KOR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MEX
3 - 2
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |