African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 1-4
Somalia vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NIG
4 - 0
SOM
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SOM
0 - 2
NIG
19%
22%
58%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
5 - 0
SOM
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SOM
0 - 0
ETH
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
50%
21%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
6 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DJI
2 - 0
SSD
17%
19%
64%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -3 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EQG
4 - 0
SSD
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
SSD
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |