Sao Tome and Principe vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
71.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CPV
7 - 1
STP
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
STP
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
STP
0 - 2
BEN
14%
19%
66%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
4 - 2
STP
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
SLE
12%
19%
69%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
URU
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CGO
71%
20%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZIM
68%
20%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |