Sao Tome and Principe vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
SLE
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GNB
5 - 1
STP
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 3
STP
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
12%
20%
67%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NGA
0 - 1
GNB
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 0
GMB
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MRT
1 - 0
GNB
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GNB
0 - 1
MRT
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |