Sao Tome and Principe vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
74.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LBY
4 - 0
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
LBY
9%
18%
73%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STP
0 - 3
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CPV
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CPV
2 - 0
KEN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 0
CPV
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 2
CPV
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |