Santa Amalia vs Deportivo Pacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 1
MIA
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AZU
2 - 4
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
ASJ
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
RCV
1 - 4
SAM
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DPC
3 - 0
OLI
79%
14%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MIA
0 - 1
DPC
13%
22%
65%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DPC
2 - 0
AZU
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
DPC
21%
25%
55%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DPC
3 - 1
RCV
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |