Santa Amalia vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
DPC
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
SAM
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
CPL
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
EXT
23%
27%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
DBN
2 - 0
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
ARR
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MIA
52%
25%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |