San Marino vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.9%
69.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MDA
3 - 0
SMR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 5
POL
6%
17%
78%
|
34 | 89 | 55 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
UKR
9 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
34 | 89 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
35 | 94 | 59 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 89 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
UKR
1 - 0
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 0
ENG
18%
23%
59%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
UKR
9 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 34 | 55 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
UKR
2 - 0
ISR
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MNE
0 - 4
UKR
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |