Russia vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
1 - 1
YUG
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
5 - 6
MNG
95%
5%
1%
|
91 | 40 | 51 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
RUS
1 - 1
BLR
86%
11%
3%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
FRA
0 - 0
RUS
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
EST
2 - 1
RUS
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 1
TUN
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 0
TUN
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
NOR
23%
25%
53%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
KOR
29%
25%
47%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
SEN
0 - 0
TUN
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |