Russia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 1
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
RUS
1 - 1
IRN
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
RUS
4 - 2
KOR
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MEX
2 - 1
RUS
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 1
POR
29%
25%
47%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
5 - 0
CRC
81%
13%
5%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ISR
0 - 1
ESP
10%
17%
73%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
91%
8%
1%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 8
ESP
4%
13%
82%
|
95 | 29 | 66 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
67%
20%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |