Rwanda vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
RWA
4 - 2
BDI
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
RWA
2 - 1
UGA
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
3 - 0
RWA
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
ETH
0 - 1
RWA
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
UGA
2 - 1
RWA
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ZAM
1 - 1
BEN
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ZIM
0 - 0
ZAM
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
25%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
UGA
2 - 2
ZAM
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |