Rwanda vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 2
RWA
77%
17%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
3 - 0
DJI
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DJI
1 - 0
RWA
14%
20%
67%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 0
SSD
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
CGO
17%
20%
64%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
SSD
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 0
KEN
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |