Rwanda vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2000 |
RWA
2 - 0
UGA
23%
26%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
UGA
2 - 1
RWA
80%
14%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 2
RWA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 1
RWA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MWI
1 - 1
RWA
51%
26%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 2
SEN
9%
21%
71%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SEN
6 - 2
ERI
82%
15%
4%
|
9 | 72 | 63 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
9%
21%
71%
|
10 | 73 | 63 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 0
CMR
8%
18%
73%
|
9 | 80 | 71 | +1 |