South Korea vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
JOR
2 - 0
KOR
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 1
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 3
MAS
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JOR
2 - 2
KOR
13%
20%
66%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
2 - 1
THA
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
KSA
0 - 0
THA
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
THA
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
THA
2 - 0
KGZ
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
THA
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |