South Korea vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
KOR
0 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MDV
0 - 0
KOR
1%
10%
89%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
KOR
5 - 0
OMA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
42%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2004 |
AUS
0 - 1
TUR
46%
28%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 3
TUR
47%
28%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 3
TUR
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
TUR
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TUR
0 - 1
DEN
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |