South Korea vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
KOR
2 - 0
ALG
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 1
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
HUN
1 - 0
KOR
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1985 |
KOR
1 - 2
MEX
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
KOR
3 - 0
BHR
91%
7%
3%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
PAR
4 - 1
JAM
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1986 |
CAN
0 - 0
PAR
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 2
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |