South Korea vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
KOR
3 - 0
KWT
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1980 |
KOR
1 - 0
IDN
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
KWT
3 - 0
KOR
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
KOR
2 - 1
PRK
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
KOR
4 - 1
UAE
78%
14%
9%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
KWT
1 - 5
NZL
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
CAN
3 - 0
NZL
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1980 |
CAN
4 - 0
NZL
51%
20%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
NZL
4 - 0
MEX
10%
23%
68%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |