South Korea vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
1.7%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
2 - 2
KOR
19%
23%
57%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
CHN
0 - 2
KOR
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1992 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1992 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
17%
22%
61%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1992 |
NPL
1 - 0
QAT
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1992 |
NPL
0 - 1
ISL
20%
25%
56%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
NPL
0 - 2
BGD
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Dec. 1991 |
NPL
0 - 1
MDV
71%
16%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
LKA
2 - 2
NPL
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |