South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
HKG
0 - 2
KOR
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
KOR
3 - 0
CHN
67%
20%
14%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
KOR
4 - 0
KWT
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
IRQ
0 - 2
KOR
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
KOR
1 - 1
JOR
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
JPN
2 - 0
CHN
79%
14%
8%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
JPN
6 - 1
HKG
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 48 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
JPN
6 - 0
IDN
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
AUS
1 - 0
JPN
36%
25%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
JPN
0 - 0
KSA
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |