South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 0
CHN
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 0
AUS
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRN
50%
26%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
KOR
1 - 0
UZB
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
KOR
11%
21%
68%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 2
AUS
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 3
CHN
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
30%
25%
45%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 3
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
JPN
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |