South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRN
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 1
NGA
52%
27%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
URU
2 - 1
KOR
58%
22%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
NGA
2 - 2
KOR
33%
25%
42%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
ARG
4 - 1
KOR
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 0
ARG
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
JPN
2 - 1
GTM
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
JPN
43%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 3
JPN
62%
20%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |