South Korea vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
IRQ
0 - 3
KOR
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 0
UAE
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
IRN
1 - 1
KOR
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
KOR
2 - 1
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
ISL
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MKD
3 - 1
ISL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ROU
0 - 0
ISL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
3%
|
79 | 35 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
ISL
1 - 1
ARM
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |