South Korea vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
KOR
0 - 2
NED
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
KOR
0 - 2
URU
37%
28%
36%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
GRC
0 - 1
KOR
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
IRN
2 - 0
KOR
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
KOR
1 - 1
SYR
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
30%
27%
44%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2007 |
SYR
0 - 3
IRQ
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PLE
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
IRN
0 - 0
IRQ
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |