South Korea vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
4 - 0
KWT
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
UAE
0 - 2
KOR
7%
15%
79%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
0 - 0
JOR
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
1 - 1
TTO
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
BHR
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
0 - 0
IRN
57%
21%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 2
IRN
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
IRN
3 - 0
THA
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 1
SYR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |