South Korea vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CIV
0 - 2
KOR
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 3
KOR
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
CHN
3 - 0
KOR
21%
23%
56%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
KOR
5 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
2%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
KOR
1 - 0
LVA
67%
22%
11%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
61%
23%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 3
ECU
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
54%
26%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |