South Korea vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
KOR
0 - 0
JPN
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
KOR
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
IRN
0 - 0
KOR
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
IDN
0 - 1
KOR
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 1
KOR
9%
18%
73%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 3
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |