South Korea vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
KOR
1 - 2
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
KOR
4 - 1
HTI
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 0
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
KOR
1 - 2
JPN
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 0
CHN
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
6 - 0
AUS
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SUI
1 - 0
BRA
12%
19%
69%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
ESP
34%
23%
43%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
URU
75%
16%
10%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | +1 |